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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on November 4?
Resolved No. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
15
Yes 53%
Total Value
$90.48
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 15 top traders (53%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xabd10f99...ab587a
Slug
highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-november-4-2026-23c