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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 5?
Resolved Yes. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
18
No 83%
Total Value
$45
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
15 of 18 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x87900a2b...4a8c25
Slug
highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-november-5-2026-26c