Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?
Resolved No. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
18
Yes 17%
Total Value
$202.21
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 18 top traders (17%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x0734cd30...094eac
Slug
highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-november-4-2026-31c