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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on November 8?

Resolved No. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

No 67%

Total Value

$33.03

Combined PnL

-$1.48

Smart Money Signal

No

10 of 13 top traders (77%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No10 traders

Total Value$33.03

Total Shares33

Combined PnL+$1.25

Yes3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares30

Combined PnL-$2.73

No — 77%Yes — 23%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
12 123987456<$100	Noavg 96.2¢	$29.34	$30.5	+$1.22	30% 2947-6822 (9769)
1D 1DVSBSTD<$100	Noavg 98.9¢	$2.5	$2.53	+$0.03	97% 59739-1869 (61608)
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100	Yesavg 2.9¢	$0.88	—	-$2.73	20% 978-3834 (4812)
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100	Yesavg 2.9¢	—	—	+$0	21% 612-2279 (2891)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 91.3¢	—	—	+$0	32% 21830-45679 (67509)
CI cigarettes<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	50% 66185-66688 (132873)
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100	Noavg 99.7¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6187-7401 (13588)
GO god83743894CTR<$100	Yesavg 2.1¢	—	—	+$0	37% 16939-29301 (46240)
QU quietparcel<$100	Noavg 95.9¢	—	—	+$0	50% 21595-21452 (43047)
GO godblessme2026<$100	Noavg 95.5¢	—	—	+$0	42% 15342-20806 (36148)
LU luciebot<$100	Noavg 99.7¢	—	—	+$0	22% 3434-11984 (15418)
PO Poligarch<$100	Noavg 93.9¢	—	—	+$0	55% 26032-21336 (47368)
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100	No	—	—	+$0	46% 6644-7782 (14426)

Invested

$29.34

Value

$30.5

PnL

+$1.22

Record

30%

2947-6822 (9769)

Invested

$2.5

Value

$2.53

PnL

+$0.03

Record

97%

59739-1869 (61608)

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100

Invested

$0.88

Value

—

PnL

-$2.73

Record

20%

978-3834 (4812)

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

21%

612-2279 (2891)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

21830-45679 (67509)

cigarettes<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

66185-66688 (132873)

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6187-7401 (13588)

god83743894CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

37%

16939-29301 (46240)

quietparcel<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

21595-21452 (43047)

godblessme2026<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

15342-20806 (36148)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

22%

3434-11984 (15418)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

26032-21336 (47368)

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6644-7782 (14426)

Smart Money Signal

No

10 of 13 top traders (77%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x553c63ae...cb0927

Slug

highest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-november-8-2026-72-73f

Traders in this Market

123987456

No — $30.5

1DVSBSTD

No — $2.53

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98

Yes — $0

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

Yes — $0

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0

cigarettes

No — $0

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

No — $0

god83743894

Yes — $0

quietparcel

No — $0

godblessme2026

No — $0

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