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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 14°C on November 6?
Resolved No. 35% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
20
Yes 35%
Total Value
$37.65
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 20 top traders (35%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x56b759ca...31f00e
Slug
highest-temperature-in-qingdao-on-november-6-2026-14c