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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 31?
Resolved Yes. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 83%
Total Value
$429.36
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x33cec2c1...629206
Slug
highest-temperature-in-paris-on-october-31-2026-15c