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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 30?

Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

No 50%

Total Value

$376.03

Combined PnL

$20.04

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No6 traders

Total Value$376.03

Total Shares376

Combined PnL+$21.19

Yes6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares13

Combined PnL-$1.14

No — 50%Yes — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
24 241532532432	Noavg 94.4¢	$354.84	$376.03	+$21.19	59% 1779-1231 (3010)
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$1.14	—	-$1.14	— 0-1 (1)
balthazar<$100	Noavg 96¢	—	—	+$0	61% 21044-13396 (34440)
AL alex20011CTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	48% 3443-3738 (7181)
ZE zerone777CTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	40% 409-609 (1018)
PO pollo07CTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	32% 335-718 (1053)
AK akrollCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	32% 336-719 (1055)
KL klli27CTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	31% 315-688 (1003)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100	Noavg 91.1¢	—	—	+$0	53% 6516-5727 (12243)
GH ghorrock<$100	Noavg 94.7¢	—	—	+$0	57% 13663-10453 (24116)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100	Noavg 94.9¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4419-9499 (13918)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 95.4¢	—	—	+$0	36% 15393-27456 (42849)

Invested

$354.84

Value

$376.03

PnL

+$21.19

Record

59%

1779-1231 (3010)

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100

Invested

$1.14

Value

—

PnL

-$1.14

Record

—

0-1 (1)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

21044-13396 (34440)

alex20011CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

48%

3443-3738 (7181)

zerone777CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

40%

409-609 (1018)

pollo07CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

335-718 (1053)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

336-719 (1055)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

31%

315-688 (1003)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6516-5727 (12243)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

13663-10453 (24116)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4419-9499 (13918)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

15393-27456 (42849)

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x15c606b7...741a72

Slug

highest-temperature-in-paris-on-october-30-2026-14c

Traders in this Market

241532532432

No — $376.03

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

Yes — $0

balthazar

No — $0

alex20011

Yes — $0

zerone777

Yes — $0

pollo07

Yes — $0

akroll

Yes — $0

klli27

Yes — $0

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

No — $0

ghorrock

No — $0

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