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NoNoNoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 31?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$363.4
Combined PnL
$50.19
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$363.4
Total Shares363
Combined PnL+$50.19
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 95¢ | $313.2 | $363.4 | +$50.19 | 59% 1862-1301 (3163) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 89.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6624-5811 (12435) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 94.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13944-10725 (24669) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 439-359 (798) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15698-27712 (43410) |
24
241532532432Invested
$313.2
Value
$363.4
PnL
+$50.19
Record
59%
1862-1301 (3163)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6624-5811 (12435)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13944-10725 (24669)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
439-359 (798)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15698-27712 (43410)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb6dd76f8...6ea5c9
Slug
highest-temperature-in-munich-on-october-31-2026-11c