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No
balthazarCTR<$100YesNoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 29?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$220
Combined PnL
$7.75
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$220
Total Shares220
Combined PnL+$7.75
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 96.5¢ | $212.25 | $220 | +$7.75 | 59% 1694-1159 (2853) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20901-13305 (34206) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 95.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6441-5643 (12084) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 97.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13390-10234 (23624) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 98.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15176-27300 (42476) |
24
241532532432Invested
$212.25
Value
$220
PnL
+$7.75
Record
59%
1694-1159 (2853)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20901-13305 (34206)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6441-5643 (12084)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13390-10234 (23624)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15176-27300 (42476)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0fcf3605...fb2656
Slug
highest-temperature-in-munich-on-october-29-2026-8c