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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 4°C on November 6?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
28
No 50%
Total Value
$1.2K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
14 of 28 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe58722b5...e81e30
Slug
highest-temperature-in-munich-on-november-6-2026-4c