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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 3°C on November 6?
Resolved No. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
23
Yes 30%
Total Value
$746.43
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 23 top traders (30%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x30d523e0...fc3021
Slug
highest-temperature-in-munich-on-november-6-2026-3c