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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 31?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
No 50%
Total Value
$232.37
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 10 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa840070d...b8dd05
Slug
highest-temperature-in-moscow-on-october-31-2026-10c