Back to Markets
YesYesYesNo
Istaroth<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on October 30?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$53
Combined PnL
$15.9
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$53
Total Shares53
Combined PnL+$15.9
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 67%No — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Yesavg 70¢ | $37.1 | $53 | +$15.9 | 59% 1779-1230 (3009) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Yesavg 59.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1804-1786 (3590) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Yesavg 59.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13657-10450 (24107) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Noavg 24¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4418-9493 (13911) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 61.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 305-1204 (1509) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 26¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15380-27439 (42819) |
24
241532532432<$100Invested
$37.1
Value
$53
PnL
+$15.9
Record
59%
1779-1230 (3009)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1804-1786 (3590)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13657-10450 (24107)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4418-9493 (13911)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
305-1204 (1509)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15380-27439 (42819)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xb84d4d7c...758c8b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-moscow-on-october-30-2026-12corhigher