Back to Markets
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 4?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 4
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes13%
No87%
Chat
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance14.6%
13.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$584.84
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
684.8
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x7c930d1e...866d8d
Slug
highest-temperature-in-moscow-on-november-4-2026-5c