Back to Markets
YesYesYesYes
balthazarCTR<$100Yes
LucerysCTR<$100YesNoYesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on November 8?
Resolved No. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$23.66
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares289
Combined PnL-$23.66
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 78%No — 22%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.3¢ | $10.04 | — | -$10.04 | 47% 47428-53893 (101321) |
SM smallreceiptCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9¢ | $11.24 | — | -$11.25 | 45% 16720-20376 (37096) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.1¢ | $0.86 | — | -$1.91 | 22% 3414-11955 (15369) |
AN anothercoinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 35% 1158-2115 (3273) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 35457-83867 (119324) |
LucerysCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18536-24186 (42722) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 21778-45614 (67392) |
HA haveagooddayCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 3999-6085 (10084) |
NO northdrawer<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 25722-21534 (47256) |
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$10.04
Value
—
PnL
-$10.04
Record
47%
47428-53893 (101321)
SM
smallreceiptCTR<$100Invested
$11.24
Value
—
PnL
-$11.25
Record
45%
16720-20376 (37096)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$0.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.91
Record
22%
3414-11955 (15369)
AN
anothercoinCTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
35%
1158-2115 (3273)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
35457-83867 (119324)
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18536-24186 (42722)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
21778-45614 (67392)
HA
haveagooddayCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
3999-6085 (10084)
NO
northdrawer<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
25722-21534 (47256)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x38f57421...363f94
Slug
highest-temperature-in-miami-on-november-8-2026-92forhigher