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YesYesYesYesYes
balthazarCTR<$100Yes
LucerysCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 8?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$25.93
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 8 top traders (100%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares314
Combined PnL-$25.93
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.3¢ | $10.04 | — | -$10.04 | 47% 47428-53893 (101321) |
SM smallreceiptCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9¢ | $11.24 | — | -$11.25 | 45% 16720-20376 (37096) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$2.27 | 32% 21778-45614 (67392) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.1¢ | $0.86 | — | -$1.91 | 22% 3414-11955 (15369) |
AN anothercoinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 35% 1158-2115 (3273) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 35457-83867 (119324) |
LucerysCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18536-24186 (42722) |
HA haveagooddayCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 40% 3999-6085 (10084) |
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$10.04
Value
—
PnL
-$10.04
Record
47%
47428-53893 (101321)
SM
smallreceiptCTR<$100Invested
$11.24
Value
—
PnL
-$11.25
Record
45%
16720-20376 (37096)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$2.27
Record
32%
21778-45614 (67392)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$0.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.91
Record
22%
3414-11955 (15369)
AN
anothercoinCTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
35%
1158-2115 (3273)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
35457-83867 (119324)
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18536-24186 (42722)
HA
haveagooddayCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
40%
3999-6085 (10084)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0b7faa1a...c843e7
Slug
highest-temperature-in-miami-on-november-8-2026-74-75f