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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on November 11?

Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Yes 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$32.52

Smart Money Signal

Yes

11 of 11 top traders (100%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares312

Combined PnL-$32.52

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$10.36	—	-$10.36	42% 806-1105 (1911)
KA kaxel78CTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$4.92	—	-$4.92	28% 530-1383 (1913)
KL klli27CTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$4.09	—	-$4.09	28% 525-1373 (1898)
SM smallreceiptCTR<$100	Yesavg 8.3¢	$2.73	—	-$2.73	17% 87-438 (525)
LucerysCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$43.9	—	-$6.63	37% 3428-5859 (9287)
AK akrollCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$1.01	—	-$1.01	28% 524-1376 (1900)
LU luciebotCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$0.92	—	-$0.92	36% 506-908 (1414)
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$0.68	—	-$0.68	30% 2929-6854 (9783)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$0.45	—	-$0.45	40% 3217-4824 (8041)
AN anothercoinCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$0.73	—	-$0.72	39% 1379-2181 (3560)
GO god83743894CTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$0.26	—	+$0	17% 74-360 (434)

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100

Invested

$10.36

Value

—

PnL

-$10.36

Record

42%

806-1105 (1911)

kaxel78CTR<$100

Invested

$4.92

Value

—

PnL

-$4.92

Record

28%

530-1383 (1913)

Invested

$4.09

Value

—

PnL

-$4.09

Record

28%

525-1373 (1898)

smallreceiptCTR<$100

Invested

$2.73

Value

—

PnL

-$2.73

Record

17%

87-438 (525)

LucerysCTR<$100

Invested

$43.9

Value

—

PnL

-$6.63

Record

37%

3428-5859 (9287)

Invested

$1.01

Value

—

PnL

-$1.01

Record

28%

524-1376 (1900)

luciebotCTR<$100

Invested

$0.92

Value

—

PnL

-$0.92

Record

36%

506-908 (1414)

qwen300.fundCTR<$100

Invested

$0.68

Value

—

PnL

-$0.68

Record

30%

2929-6854 (9783)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

40%

3217-4824 (8041)

anothercoinCTR<$100

Invested

$0.73

Value

—

PnL

-$0.72

Record

39%

1379-2181 (3560)

god83743894CTR<$100

Invested

$0.26

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

17%

74-360 (434)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

11 of 11 top traders (100%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe25e110a...1e2088

Slug

highest-temperature-in-miami-on-november-11-2026-92forhigher

Traders in this Market

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

Yes — $0

kaxel78

Yes — $0

klli27

Yes — $0

smallreceipt

Yes — $0

Lucerys

Yes — $0

akroll

Yes — $0

luciebot

Yes — $0

qwen300.fund

Yes — $0

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $0

anothercoin

Yes — $0

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