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Yes
balthazar<$100NoNoYesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 27?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$3.89
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares110
Combined PnL-$3.89
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.9¢ | $2.3 | — | -$3.89 | 60% 1580-1035 (2615) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 98.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20651-13088 (33739) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 93¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6308-5527 (11835) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13102-9987 (23089) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 96¢ | — | — | +$0 | 35% 14814-26946 (41760) |
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$2.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.89
Record
60%
1580-1035 (2615)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20651-13088 (33739)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6308-5527 (11835)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13102-9987 (23089)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
35%
14814-26946 (41760)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb20c6580...c34b70
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-october-27-2026-22c