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balthazarNo
Istaroth<$100NoNo
LucerysNoYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 1?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 60%
Total Value
$175.36
Combined PnL
-$40.61
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$175.36
Total Shares175
Combined PnL-$31.27
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares295
Combined PnL-$9.34
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
balthazar | Noavg 99.7¢ | $119.63 | $119.99 | -$10.75 | 55% 25925-21197 (47122) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $39.96 | $40 | -$8.83 | 17% 399-1952 (2351) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 97.6¢ | $29.65 | $15.37 | +$0.38 | 57% 17228-12894 (30122) |
Lucerys | Noavg 99.8¢ | $143.39 | — | -$12.07 | 92% 8583-746 (9329) |
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.6¢ | $10.07 | — | +$0 | 44% 1555-1970 (3525) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$6.68 | 35% 16909-31257 (48166) |
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.9¢ | $2.66 | — | -$2.66 | 61% 2345-1531 (3876) |
balthazarInvested
$119.63
Value
$119.99
PnL
-$10.75
Record
55%
25925-21197 (47122)
Istaroth<$100Invested
$39.96
Value
$40
PnL
-$8.83
Record
17%
399-1952 (2351)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
$29.65
Value
$15.37
PnL
+$0.38
Record
57%
17228-12894 (30122)
LucerysInvested
$143.39
Value
—
PnL
-$12.07
Record
92%
8583-746 (9329)
0X
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100Invested
$10.07
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
44%
1555-1970 (3525)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$6.68
Record
35%
16909-31257 (48166)
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$2.66
Value
—
PnL
-$2.66
Record
61%
2345-1531 (3876)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa8ebbd4f...13390e
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-november-1-2026-23c