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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on August 24?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$0.01
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x41ba6ae0...671af6
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-august-24-2026-20c