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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on August 23?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Yes 57%
Total Value
$0.04
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 14 top traders (57%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc532599c...a437bc
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-august-23-2026-20c