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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 21?
Resolved No. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 86%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 7 top traders (86%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x85bfc232...b1528f
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-september-21-2026-36c