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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 18?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 83%
Total Value
$30
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x60c7e60c...3932ac
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-september-18-2026-36c