Back to Markets
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 4?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$10.02
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x41688ba5...c1a006
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-4-2026-30c