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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on November 3?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Yes 57%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 14 top traders (57%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1f5c79fc...69b918
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-november-3-2026-36c