Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on November 2?
Resolved No. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 73%
Total Value
$0.02
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 11 top traders (73%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xd34c9ea2...4776cf
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-november-2-2026-36c