Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 5?
Resolved Yes. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
25
No 64%
Total Value
$164.17
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
16 of 25 top traders (64%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x372ed3f3...ba3a3c
Slug
highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-november-5-2026-16c