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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 3?
Resolved Yes. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
27
No 74%
Total Value
$183.01
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
20 of 27 top traders (74%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x826279b3...898ca6
Slug
highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-november-3-2026-14c