Back to Markets
Yes
balthazar<$100NoYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on October 31?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$40.34
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares536
Combined PnL-$40.34
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 80%No — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.4¢ | $7.64 | — | -$40.34 | 59% 1859-1299 (3158) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21161-13476 (34637) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6587-5792 (12379) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13860-10628 (24488) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15651-27561 (43212) |
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$7.64
Value
—
PnL
-$40.34
Record
59%
1859-1299 (3158)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21161-13476 (34637)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6587-5792 (12379)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13860-10628 (24488)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15651-27561 (43212)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xb674d7c3...0ef743
Slug
highest-temperature-in-lucknow-on-october-31-2026-21c