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Yes
balthazar<$100NoYesNoYes
Istaroth<$100NoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 28?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$274.62
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares788
Combined PnL-$274.62
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 43%No — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR | Yesavg 34.9¢ | $274.62 | — | -$274.62 | 51% 596-562 (1158) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 63.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20735-13149 (33884) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 37¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1675-1660 (3335) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 82.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6354-5570 (11924) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 19.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13182-10034 (23216) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 50.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 25% 283-842 (1125) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 59.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14903-27014 (41917) |
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTRInvested
$274.62
Value
—
PnL
-$274.62
Record
51%
596-562 (1158)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20735-13149 (33884)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1675-1660 (3335)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6354-5570 (11924)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13182-10034 (23216)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
25%
283-842 (1125)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14903-27014 (41917)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf54c923d...7f1966
Slug
highest-temperature-in-jeddah-on-october-28-2026-37c