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NoYes
balthazarCTR<$100Yes
Lucerys<$100NoNoYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 24°C on November 8?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$82.9
Combined PnL
-$9.44
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$82.9
Total Shares83
Combined PnL+$0.08
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares105
Combined PnL-$9.52
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1D 1DVSBSTD<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $82.9 | $82.9 | +$0.08 | 97% 59583-1863 (61446) |
HA haveagooddayCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $9.52 | — | -$9.52 | 40% 3992-6073 (10065) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 30% 35274-83611 (118885) |
Lucerys<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18503-24146 (42649) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 32% 21135-45368 (66503) |
KO korda77CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 8583-18358 (26941) |
LU luciebot<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 22% 3328-11802 (15130) |
1D
1DVSBSTD<$100Invested
$82.9
Value
$82.9
PnL
+$0.08
Record
97%
59583-1863 (61446)
HA
haveagooddayCTR<$100Invested
$9.52
Value
—
PnL
-$9.52
Record
40%
3992-6073 (10065)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
35274-83611 (118885)
Lucerys<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18503-24146 (42649)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
21135-45368 (66503)
KO
korda77CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
8583-18358 (26941)
LU
luciebot<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
22%
3328-11802 (15130)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x20f824d3...81ef34
Slug
highest-temperature-in-jeddah-on-november-8-2026-24c