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NoYesYes
balthazarCTR<$100Yes
LucerysCTR<$100YesYesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 23°C on November 8?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 67%
Total Value
$8.85
Combined PnL
-$12.07
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$8.85
Total Shares9
Combined PnL+$0.01
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares120
Combined PnL-$12.08
No — 29%Yes — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1D 1DVSBSTD<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $8.85 | $8.85 | +$0.01 | 97% 59583-1863 (61446) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$2.56 | 32% 21135-45368 (66503) |
HA haveagooddayCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $9.52 | — | -$9.52 | 40% 3992-6073 (10065) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 30% 35274-83611 (118885) |
LucerysCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18503-24146 (42649) |
KO korda77CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 8583-18358 (26941) |
LU luciebot<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 22% 3328-11802 (15130) |
1D
1DVSBSTD<$100Invested
$8.85
Value
$8.85
PnL
+$0.01
Record
97%
59583-1863 (61446)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$2.56
Record
32%
21135-45368 (66503)
HA
haveagooddayCTR<$100Invested
$9.52
Value
—
PnL
-$9.52
Record
40%
3992-6073 (10065)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
35274-83611 (118885)
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18503-24146 (42649)
KO
korda77CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
8583-18358 (26941)
LU
luciebot<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
22%
3328-11802 (15130)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x67f00e7f...8b23e6
Slug
highest-temperature-in-jeddah-on-november-8-2026-23c