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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 28?

Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

No 100%

Total Value

$514.65

Combined PnL

$10.54

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No4 traders
Total Value$514.65
Total Shares515
Combined PnL+$10.54
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 50%Yes — 50%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xce530bff...1b8195
Slug
highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-october-28-2026-17c
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