Back to Markets
NoYesYesNo
Istaroth<$100YesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 28?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$111.4
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares350
Combined PnL-$126.63
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$15.23
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HE HellYeahTraderCTR | Noavg 44¢ | $126.63 | — | -$126.63 | 55% 287-239 (526) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Yesavg 47.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1675-1660 (3335) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Yesavg 22.5¢ | $4.5 | — | +$15.23 | 53% 6354-5570 (11924) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 62.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13182-10034 (23216) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 53.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 25% 283-842 (1125) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 49.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14903-27014 (41917) |
HE
HellYeahTraderCTRInvested
$126.63
Value
—
PnL
-$126.63
Record
55%
287-239 (526)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1675-1660 (3335)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
—
PnL
+$15.23
Record
53%
6354-5570 (11924)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13182-10034 (23216)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
25%
283-842 (1125)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14903-27014 (41917)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x7e932716...df5446
Slug
highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-october-28-2026-16c