Back to Markets
Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 16?
Resolved No. 93% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
15
No 93%
Total Value
$718.99
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
14 of 15 top traders (93%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xe3a48afc...63b5b7
Slug
highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-october-16-2026-15c