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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
No 80%
Total Value
$294.2
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
8 of 10 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0a40fdb7...bf8e7b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-october-15-2026-15c