Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 28?
Resolved No. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Yes 67%
$88.58
-$176.53
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Noavg 88.5¢ | $78.12 | $88.58 | +$10.46 | 60% 1644-1108 (2752) |
HE HellYeahTraderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11¢ | $9.77 | — | -$13.59 | 55% 306-250 (556) |
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR | Yesavg 21.1¢ | $173.4 | — | -$173.4 | 47% 606-687 (1293) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 77.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20776-13190 (33966) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1694-1677 (3371) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 77.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6388-5592 (11980) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 86.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13303-10162 (23465) |
 IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 24% 285-905 (1190) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 96¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15014-27067 (42081) |
Invested
$78.12
Value
$88.58
PnL
+$10.46
Record
60%
1644-1108 (2752)
Invested
$9.77
Value
—
PnL
-$13.59
Record
55%
306-250 (556)
Invested
$173.4
Value
—
PnL
-$173.4
Record
47%
606-687 (1293)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20776-13190 (33966)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1694-1677 (3371)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6388-5592 (11980)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13303-10162 (23465)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
24%
285-905 (1190)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15014-27067 (42081)
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