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No
balthazarCTR<$100YesYesYesYesNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?
Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$410.43
Combined PnL
$55.12
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 7 top traders (29%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$410.43
Total Shares410
Combined PnL+$55.12
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 29%Yes — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 95.1¢ | $355.31 | $410.43 | +$55.12 | 60% 1644-1108 (2752) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20776-13190 (33966) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1694-1677 (3371) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6388-5592 (11980) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13303-10162 (23465) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 96¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 306-250 (556) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15014-27067 (42081) |
24
241532532432Invested
$355.31
Value
$410.43
PnL
+$55.12
Record
60%
1644-1108 (2752)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20776-13190 (33966)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1694-1677 (3371)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6388-5592 (11980)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13303-10162 (23465)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
306-250 (556)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15014-27067 (42081)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5b281863...f944b3
Slug
highest-temperature-in-houston-on-october-28-2026-78-79f