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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 13?
Resolved Yes. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
17
No 82%
Total Value
$81.05
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
14 of 17 top traders (82%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1ca3e2aa...69d0d8
Slug
highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-october-13-2026-34c