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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11?
Resolved Yes. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
No 79%
Total Value
$137.17
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
11 of 14 top traders (79%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x34aadec7...294082
Slug
highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-october-11-2026-34c