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NoNoYesNoNo
Istaroth<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 1?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$464.73
Combined PnL
$62.12
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$464.73
Total Shares465
Combined PnL+$149.06
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares181
Combined PnL-$86.94
No — 83%Yes — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 64.4¢ | $283.47 | $400.09 | +$137.42 | 59% 1921-1351 (3272) |
BE berlinskies<$100 | Noavg 82¢ | $53 | $64.63 | +$11.63 | 58% 5892-4319 (10211) |
HE HellYeahTraderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 48¢ | $86.94 | — | -$86.94 | 54% 467-391 (858) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100 | Noavg 57¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 673-674 (1347) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 80.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14240-11046 (25286) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 68.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 365-1641 (2006) |
24
241532532432Invested
$283.47
Value
$400.09
PnL
+$137.42
Record
59%
1921-1351 (3272)
BE
berlinskies<$100Invested
$53
Value
$64.63
PnL
+$11.63
Record
58%
5892-4319 (10211)
HE
HellYeahTraderCTR<$100Invested
$86.94
Value
—
PnL
-$86.94
Record
54%
467-391 (858)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
673-674 (1347)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14240-11046 (25286)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
365-1641 (2006)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x61af4113...9799ad
Slug
highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-november-1-2026-32c