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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on November 8?

Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

15

No 50%

Total Value

$12.51

Combined PnL

-$7.17

Smart Money Signal

No

9 of 15 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No9 traders

Total Value$12.51

Total Shares13

Combined PnL+$0.06

Yes6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares246

Combined PnL-$7.24

No — 60%Yes — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
1D 1DVSBSTD<$100	Noavg 99.7¢	$12.47	$12.51	+$0.04	97% 59717-1869 (61586)
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100	Yesavg 2.9¢	$7.24	—	-$7.24	30% 2855-6557 (9412)
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179<$100	Noavg 70.5¢	—	—	+$0	21% 608-2274 (2882)
Lucerys<$100	Noavg 98.3¢	—	—	+$0	43% 18536-24186 (42722)
AN anothercoinCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	35% 1158-2115 (3273)
CI cigarettes<$100	Noavg 99.7¢	—	—	+$0	50% 66106-66575 (132681)
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100	Noavg 99.6¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6186-7390 (13576)
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.6¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6896-8155 (15051)
GO godblessme2026<$100	Noavg 70.5¢	—	—	+$0	42% 15337-20800 (36137)
0X 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100	Noavg 98.2¢	—	—	+$0	43% 5572-7255 (12827)
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.6¢	—	—	+$0	69% 16764-7368 (24132)
LU luciebot<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	$4.99	—	+$0.03	22% 3414-11955 (15369)
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100	Yesavg 1.3¢	—	—	+$0	50% 9328-9390 (18718)
PO Poligarch<$100	Noavg 94.6¢	—	—	+$0	55% 26028-21332 (47360)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Yesavg 0.8¢	—	—	+$0	57% 24781-18350 (43131)

Invested

$12.47

Value

$12.51

PnL

+$0.04

Record

97%

59717-1869 (61586)

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100

Invested

$7.24

Value

—

PnL

-$7.24

Record

30%

2855-6557 (9412)

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

21%

608-2274 (2882)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

18536-24186 (42722)

anothercoinCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

35%

1158-2115 (3273)

cigarettes<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

66106-66575 (132681)

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6186-7390 (13576)

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6896-8155 (15051)

godblessme2026<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

15337-20800 (36137)

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

5572-7255 (12827)

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

69%

16764-7368 (24132)

Invested

$4.99

Value

—

PnL

+$0.03

Record

22%

3414-11955 (15369)

0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

9328-9390 (18718)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

26028-21332 (47360)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

24781-18350 (43131)

Smart Money Signal

No

9 of 15 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x16723f73...7d9233

Slug

highest-temperature-in-denver-on-november-8-2026-72-73f

Traders in this Market

1DVSBSTD

No — $12.51

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

Yes — $0

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

No — $0

Lucerys

No — $0

anothercoin

Yes — $0

cigarettes

No — $0

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

No — $0

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

Yes — $0

godblessme2026

No — $0

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579

No — $0

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