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YesYesYesYesNoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$125.49
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares844
Combined PnL-$125.49
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 83%No — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR | Yesavg 15.5¢ | $115.67 | — | -$115.67 | 47% 631-718 (1349) |
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 12.2¢ | $9.82 | — | -$9.82 | 59% 1723-1189 (2912) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1752-1734 (3486) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 13.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6464-5663 (12127) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 84.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13544-10382 (23926) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15264-27350 (42614) |
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTRInvested
$115.67
Value
—
PnL
-$115.67
Record
47%
631-718 (1349)
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$9.82
Value
—
PnL
-$9.82
Record
59%
1723-1189 (2912)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1752-1734 (3486)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6464-5663 (12127)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13544-10382 (23926)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15264-27350 (42614)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x230afa78...24068c
Slug
highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-october-29-2026-76-77f