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YesYes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNoYes
IstarothCTR<$100NoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 28?
Resolved Yes. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 100%
Total Value
$427.62
Combined PnL
$435.83
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$427.62
Total Shares428
Combined PnL+$435.83
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 38%No — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Yesavg 56¢ | $166.21 | $296.82 | +$130.62 | 60% 1599-1056 (2655) |
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98 | Yesavg 45.4¢ | $254.44 | $130.8 | +$305.21 | 47% 585-672 (1257) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 30.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20693-13116 (33809) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Noavg 41¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1654-1642 (3296) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 19¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6330-5547 (11877) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Yesavg 46.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13143-10017 (23160) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 26% 281-787 (1068) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 38¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14865-26983 (41848) |
24
241532532432Invested
$166.21
Value
$296.82
PnL
+$130.62
Record
60%
1599-1056 (2655)
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Invested
$254.44
Value
$130.8
PnL
+$305.21
Record
47%
585-672 (1257)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20693-13116 (33809)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1654-1642 (3296)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6330-5547 (11877)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13143-10017 (23160)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
26%
281-787 (1068)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14865-26983 (41848)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe3d9e6fe...ff907a
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chongqing-on-october-28-2026-16c