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YesYes
balthazar<$100NoNoNo
Istaroth<$100NoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 27?
Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$85
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 7 top traders (29%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares918
Combined PnL-$85
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 29%No — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100 | Yesavg 10¢ | $69.7 | — | -$69.7 | 52% 561-524 (1085) |
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.5¢ | $1.5 | — | -$15.31 | 61% 1529-967 (2496) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20522-12983 (33505) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 94.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6235-5472 (11707) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 86.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12909-9833 (22742) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 88¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 273-593 (866) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 99.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14582-26244 (40826) |
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100Invested
$69.7
Value
—
PnL
-$69.7
Record
52%
561-524 (1085)
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$15.31
Record
61%
1529-967 (2496)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20522-12983 (33505)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6235-5472 (11707)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12909-9833 (22742)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
273-593 (866)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14582-26244 (40826)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcf495e80...a9eeb2
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chongqing-on-october-27-2026-17c