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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 4?
Resolved No. 22% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 22%
Total Value
$208.4
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 9 top traders (22%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x738a57ab...0d424e
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-october-4-2026-24c