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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 2?
Resolved No. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 17%
Total Value
$167.15
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 6 top traders (17%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa190e705...d369eb
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-october-2-2026-24c