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Yes
balthazarCTR<$100NoYesYesYes
Istaroth<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?
Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$107.12
Combined PnL
$69.01
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$107.12
Total Shares107
Combined PnL+$69.01
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 71%No — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Yesavg 34.3¢ | $38.11 | $107.12 | +$69.01 | 61% 1529-967 (2496) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 26¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20522-12983 (33505) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Yesavg 77.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6235-5472 (11707) |
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100 | Yesavg 22¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 556-647 (1203) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Yesavg 47.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12909-9833 (22742) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 29.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 273-593 (866) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 28.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14582-26244 (40826) |
24
241532532432Invested
$38.11
Value
$107.12
PnL
+$69.01
Record
61%
1529-967 (2496)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20522-12983 (33505)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6235-5472 (11707)
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
556-647 (1203)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12909-9833 (22742)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
273-593 (866)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14582-26244 (40826)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8d9c310a...ff770f
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-october-27-2026-19c