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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on November 4?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
Yes 50%
Total Value
$36.38
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 12 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd7c582a1...5a6a51
Slug
highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-november-4-2026-25c