Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 9?
Resolved No. 87% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
No 100%
$354.28
$2.98
Smart Money Signal
13 of 15 top traders (87%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493 | Noavg 99.2¢ | $23.91 | $324.43 | +$2.53 | 50% 9346-9412 (18758) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 98.5¢ | $29.85 | $29.85 | +$0.45 | 57% 25537-19073 (44610) |
 balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 35523-84044 (119567) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179<$100 | Noavg 96¢ | — | — | +$0 | 22% 657-2370 (3027) |
 Lucerys<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18729-24498 (43227) |
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100 | Noavg 99.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 2897-6613 (9510) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 99.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 47657-54243 (101900) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 66284-66816 (133100) |
AN anothercoin<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 35% 1183-2186 (3369) |
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 6200-7414 (13614) |
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100 | Noavg 99.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 6903-8164 (15067) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 9084-8296 (17380) |
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100 | Noavg 99.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 69% 16770-7378 (24148) |
12 123987456CTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 2958-6851 (9809) |
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100 | Noavg 99.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 6652-7812 (14464) |
Invested
$23.91
Value
$324.43
PnL
+$2.53
Record
50%
9346-9412 (18758)
Invested
$29.85
Value
$29.85
PnL
+$0.45
Record
57%
25537-19073 (44610)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
35523-84044 (119567)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
22%
657-2370 (3027)
Lucerys<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18729-24498 (43227)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
2897-6613 (9510)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
47657-54243 (101900)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
66284-66816 (133100)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
35%
1183-2186 (3369)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
6200-7414 (13614)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
6903-8164 (15067)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
9084-8296 (17380)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
16770-7378 (24148)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
2958-6851 (9809)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
6652-7812 (14464)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493
No — $324.43
ghorrock
No — $29.85
balthazar
No — $0
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179
No — $0
Lucerys
No — $0
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225
No — $0
qwen300.fund
No — $0
cigarettes
No — $0
anothercoin
No — $0
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702
No — $0